Posts Tagged ‘forecasting’

Kill The Groundhog!

March 23, 2013

Kill the Groundhog!

Remember February 2nd? This cute This little This hairy creature in Pennsylvania promised us an early spring. Well it didn’t happen, and Prosecutor Mike Gmoser of Butler County, Ohio has indicted the critter. Mr. Gmoser thinks this is a capital offense and wants that groundhog’s hide.


Why Do Economic Forecasters Still Have Jobs?

February 10, 2013

Why Do Economic Forecasters Still Have Jobs?

“The rankings are based on predictions made last January about how inflation, unemployment, interest rates and economic output would fare over the course of the year.” — “Ranking Economists’ 2012 Predictions: The Best and Worst,” Phil Izzo, Wall Street Journal blog

“As the old saying goes, even a stopped clock is right twice a day.” “Show me a forecaster who comes close to the figures year after year, in recessions and booms, and I’ll agree he or she may offer value to investors and executives. Until then, you’ll do just as well guessing the numbers yourself as guessing which forecaster would do better.” — “Why Do Economic Forecasters Still Have Jobs?” Daniel Altman, Big Think


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Image (after a WPA photo) by Mike Licht. Download a copy here. Creative Commons license; credit Mike Licht,

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2013: The Year Ahead

January 2, 2013

2013: The Year Ahead

“2013 calendar: key events for the year ahead,” The Guardian

“Predictions for 2013 don’t include the apocalypse, for once,” Kevin Modesti, Los Angeles Daily News

“TIME’s Fearless Sports Predictions for 2013,” Sean Gregory, Time

“Economy will limp along in 2013,” James K. Galbraith, CNN

“5 disturbing trends you should pay attention to in 2013,” Paul Brandus, The Week

“10 Tech Industry Predictions for 2013,” Tim and Ben Bajarin, Time

“Health reform: What’s coming in 2013,” Denise Mann, WebMD via Atlanta Journal-Constitution

“After Crispy Pig Ears, 10 Trends for 2013,” Julia Moskin, New York Times

“Climate change, fracking to take center stage in 2013,” Scott Tong, Marketplace

“Ahead for 2013: Tea party, gay marriage, guns,” Timothy Stanley, CNN

“Food price outlook: Will Buffalo wings break your budget in 2013?” Schuyler Velasco, Christian Science Monitor

“The Year Ahead: 132 Eerily Prescient, Stupefyingly Accurate Predictions for 2013!” New York Observer


What’s Ahead for 2012

January 2, 2012

What's Ahead for 2012

It’s 2012. While Baby Boomers and other geezers keep asking for their jetpacks and flying cars, most pundits try to keep their 2012 predictions more down-to-earth:

“2012 predictions worth discussing,” Jon Tarlton, Seattle Times

“NBA Predictions for 2012,” Patrick Buscone, Bleacher Report

“A Quick Look At The Year Ahead,” NPR

“Ten 2012 Predictions,” James Poulos, Daily Caller

“Tech Predictions for 2012,” Meredith Popolo,

“15 faith-based predictions for 2012,” CNN